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On 2026-04-26 @catboyautist said they'd press red in Tim Urban's private-vote…

Brief

Author @catboyautist (2026-04-26) argues they'd choose red in Tim Urban's 'red vs blue' private-vote survival thought experiment only if all voters were informed adults (18+, no disabilities). Because many people "aren't logicians" and may press blue randomly (babies ~50% chance), and most informed want to save them, choosing blue becomes the pragmatic option to maximize lives given the >50% survival threshold.

Why it matters

On 2026-04-26 @catboyautist said they'd press red in Tim Urban's private-vote survival thought experiment if the voter pool were only informed participants aged 18+ with no disabilities.

Key details

  • Because, in their view, a "large chunk of the earths population" aren't logicians and could press blue randomly (e.g., babies with ~50% chance), and since >50% blue means everyone survives while <50% blue means only red-pressers survive, pressing blue becomes the pragmatic choice to save those people if most informed want to do so.
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