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@menhguin (Minh Nhat Nguyen) on 2026-04-30 said he has built <5% short positions…
Brief
Menhguin (Minh Nhat Nguyen) posted on 2026-04-30 that he holds <5% short positions in META and CRWV and a long in AAPL—pointing to META's heavy capex, weak monetisation, and macro weakness, and to AAPL's favorable IV versus ARM and AI positioning. He predicts compute shortages, rising open‑source model utility, slowing revenue for closed models, and tapering of frontier labs.
Why it matters
@menhguin (Minh Nhat Nguyen) on 2026-04-30 said he has built <5% short positions in $META citing high capex, limited monetisation, and weak macro; he is long $AAPL because implied volatility looked attractive versus $ARM and he believes Apple is well positioned for AI; he also holds a short in $CRWV.
Key details
- Forecasted industry outcome: (1) strong compute shortages force prioritizing cost‑performance over raw capabilities, (2) open‑source models cross a usefulness threshold, (3) a compute crunch reduces revenue growth for closed models, and (4) frontier labs taper off.