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System architecture: one agent with a Claude backbone, retrieval-augmented…
Brief
An ex-Anthropic engineer claims he left 8 months ago after working on Claude's reasoning layer and at 2am added me to a Signal group to push an automated prediction-market stack. He posted a wallet screenshot showing +$41,000 in 90 days (340 trades, 74% hit), described a Claude-backed agent using RAG from 9 sources and the Polymarket/agents repo, recommended quarter-Kelly entries above 12%, predicted rapid adoption that will compress the edge, and I deployed $750 that night and made +$340 in week one.
Why it matters
System architecture: one agent with a Claude backbone, retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) pulling from 9 sources (news wires, odds, sentiment, on-chain flow), scoring every Polymarket position every 20 minutes; entry when edge >12%, quarter-Kelly sizing, hard stop if thesis breaks; repo: github.com/Polymarket/agents (477 stars, MIT license).
Key details
- Performance claims: wallet screenshot showed +$41,000 in 90 days across 340 trades with a 74% hit rate; worst week -$300, best week +$4,200; the author deployed $750 the same night and reported +$340 in week one.
- Adoption and context: ex-Anthropic engineer (left 8 months ago, worked on Claude's reasoning layer) says hedge funds pay six figures and use ~40 people for this pipeline while he runs it with one repo and an API key; estimates ~200 people run the stack now and predicts 10,000 in a year, warning the edge will compress; Signal group grew from 14 to 23 people.