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A former Citadel quant reportedly fed his trading strategy to Claude and runs a…

Brief

may.crypto (@xmayeth) claims a former Citadel quant converted a simple, three‑step BTC strategy into a Claude-powered bot that captures pre-reprice moves on Polymarket, with ~5-minute trades, Kelly sizing, and example gains (e.g., +$340 overnight, entry $0.40 → $1). The thread includes formulas and a polymarket/@vidarx link to reproduce it.

Why it matters

A former Citadel quant reportedly fed his trading strategy to Claude and runs a Polymarket bot that the author says makes $12,000/day, $641K total P&L, and $213K this month (thread published 2026-04-09); each trade lasts ~5 minutes and the strategy is described as three steps.

Key details

  • The bot monitors the 1-minute BTC chart, opens BTC contracts on Polymarket when it detects movement before Polymarket reprices, and sizes positions using the Kelly criterion; example trades include buying at $0.40 and resolving at $1 (+$280 next morning) and wins of +$340, +$410, +$195.
  • The author posted documents with all formulas and a Polymarket profile link (polymarket.com/@vidarx), instructing readers to feed the docs to Claude to replicate the same bot.
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