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In the Mar 27, 2026 newsletter, several semiconductor and photonics shifts converged. TurboQuant â Google Researchâs KVâcache compression paper that had been on arXiv for about a year â resurfaced and spooked memory investors, contributing to a sharp pullback even as Micron reported FQ2 revenue of $8.05B, a record 75% gross margin, and FQ3 guidance of $8.8B. Arm unveiled its first inâhouse Arm AGI CPU built on TSMC 3nm with 136 Neoverse V3 cores and a 300 W TDP; Arm described rack densities of 8,160 cores (air) and >45,000 cores (liquid) and projected $15B in AGI CPU revenue within five years, with Meta as an anchor customer. Supply stress is visible elsewhere: Intel and AMD raised CPU prices ~10â15% YTD and lead times widened to as much as six months. In photonics, Tower Semiconductor and Coherent demonstrated 400 Gbps/lane (420 Gb/s PAM4) on Towerâs siliconâphotonic process using Coherent InP CW lasers, potentially delaying the need for TFLN modulators; days later GlobalFoundries sued Tower over 11 patents, seeking import bans and prompting share price moves (Tower â7.5%, GF â4.6%). Applied Optoelectronics secured a $53M 800G order (Q2âmidâQ3) after a $200M+ 1.6T win. Separately, helium spot prices surged over 50% after attacks on Qatarâs Ras Laffan (â17% LNG capacity hit), spotlighting a material risk for lithography, ion implantation, and leak detection in fabs.
TurboQuant (a Google Research KV-cache compression paper first posted on arXiv ~2025) resurfaced in Mar 2026 and triggered a memory/storage selloffâMicron (MU) fell ~25% from highs and SanDisk declined ~8% despite Micron reporting FQ2 revenue of $8.05B and a record 75% gross margin.
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