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@jasonc_nc (restaurant vantage) says people on GLP-1s may eat less but still go…

Brief

@jasonc_nc, drawing on his restaurant experience and friends on GLP-1s, argues reduced intake from GLP-1 use won't proportionally slash food spending: leftovers and continued dining-out blunt effects. He estimates a 20% drop in eating might translate to only a ~5–10% fall in grocery and restaurant dollars, with higher-quality diets offsetting some losses.

Why it matters

@jasonc_nc (restaurant vantage) says people on GLP-1s may eat less but still go out to eat; leftovers often result and are frequently thrown away rather than eliminating dining trips (post published 2026-05-10).

Key details

  • He estimates if GLP-1s cause a 20% reduction in overall eating, grocery and restaurant spending would likely fall only about 5–10% in real dollars.
  • Many he knows improve diet quality while on GLP-1s, which can offset spending declines because healthier choices often cost more, so he argues no impending 'grocery or restaurant apocalypse.'
Source evidence

Aa few thoughts based on my restaurant vantage + experience with people I know on GLPs.

While you eat less I’m not sure it meaningfully changes overall spending when going out to eat. Maybe you end up with leftovers vs finishing, but it’s not causing people to just not go out. And people often take leftovers home to just throw them away in a few days.

Groceries I could see shifting some from simply eating less, but still the above mechanics tend to hold. Make a standard meal and there is more leftover, with much of it getting thrown away.

If a GLP made you overall eat 20% less I’m thinking the actual grocery and dining spend drop is maybe ~5-10% in real dollars. Not nothing, but not the grocery or restaurant apocalypse some seem to expect. And for many I know diet choices seem to improve in quality, further offsetting spending drops for higher $ (but healthier) options.

LexCrazed, Boltzmann Brain Surgeon (@LexCrazed)

And yet we’re getting articles about the BIG CHANGES GLP-1s ARE MAKING TO THE FOOD INDUSTRY every few months…

— https://nitter.net/LexCrazed/status/2052413008396124212#m