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Market: “Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?” — author entered…

2026-05-12 · 10:51 UTC ·@0xd1namit ·1 min read

Brief

The Polymarket market “Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?” was used by @0xd1namit to farm LP rewards (reward pool > $100, ~4% yields) and capture small spreads. He bought, relisted 1¢ higher (+1.14%) and sold quickly; he considers the outcome low-risk and thinks the fair price exceeds $0.89.

Why it matters

Market: “Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?” — author entered to farm LP rewards when the reward pool was above $100 and LP yields were ~4%

Key details

  • Author flipped a filled order a few days later by listing it 1¢ higher (a +1.14% spread) and it sold quickly
  • Author judges the market as very low-risk — calls it “basically just a bet on his age,” believes fair price is well above $0.89
Source evidence

A polymarket where it’s really easy to make money (not a lot)

Market: Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

At first I went into this market to farm LP rewards. Back then the reward was above $100, and the risk/reward looked very good to me

A few days later my order got filled, and I listed it for sale 1c higher (+1.14%). Surprisingly, it got filled very quickly

As for the risk of the market itself, I honestly can’t imagine a scenario where something happens to Putin. This is basically just a bet on his age. But the fair price is much higher than 89c

So we farm LP rewards, 4% rewards and flip a 1c spread in a very low-risk market