- What a deal could look like if one happens:
China agrees to pressure Iran toward a permanent ceasefire and reopening of the Strait. In exchange, the US softens some chip export restrictions for civilian AI applications, China buys a large package of US agricultural goods and Boeing aircraft, and Trump gets to announce "historic deals" before flying home.
Taiwan gets the most ambiguous statement possible from Trump, and nobody in that room says anything definitive enough to be held to it later.
That is the most likely outcome, per analysts at the Council on Foreign Relations and Time magazine's pre-summit analysis.